Wednesday, October 9, 2013

Study Sees a Higher Risk of Storms on the Horizon



           In this article called Study Sees a Higher Risk of Storms on the Horizon it talks about how in the eastern and central United States we are likely to see a bigger risk of extreme weather. This is mostly predicted to happen in the middle of this century, because the gain in temperatures is triggering atmospheric changes, which will cause storms. Not only, will there be storms, but the data also suggests, but does not flatly predicts, that the warning of tornadoes will increase as well. The scientists measured the increases in temperatures on conditions that are mostly known to produce big thunderstorms. Dr Diffenbaugh says “We can look starting in the recent past and analyze how many severe thunderstorm environments there are in each model, in each year, all the way out to the end of 21st century.” There were 10 models, and all of them showed an overall increase in the extreme weather days in the spring and autumn around the 2040s. Kevin Trenberth, a scientist, says, “The likelihood of severe weather is probably fairly robust and prospects worrying”. There are many different types of weather conditions that help cause thunderstorms, but the most important ones would be humidity, wind, and atmospheric instability (“Which can cause warm air to rush upward through colder air”).  Scientists say that they have a big challenge to try and understand whether or not there have been any changes to these weather conditions.

The climate changes that are happening are causing the change in the weather that is yet to come. This article shows what the scientists are telling us to expect in whether later in the century. They want it to get better, and they do not want any of the tornadoes or the extreme thunderstorms to occur. Those could be very dangerous towards people, because the thunderstorms and the tornadoes could take the people’s houses away, which will be very disastrous.

            I think that the author did a very good job explaining this article. He used really good descriptive words, which helped me understand the article better. The author could have used more statistics in his article, to show the percentages or the chances of the thunderstorms and the tornadoes that are bound to happen. I found this article very interesting, because it gives you a small description on how the weather and a little bit of the life will be in the future.  Before reading this article, I never thought about the weather in the future, and I hope that these extreme weather conditions will change. 


http://www.nytimes.com/2013/09/24/us/study-sees-a-higher-risk-of-storms-on-the-horizon.html?ref=globalwarming

4 comments:

  1. Natascha's wrote this review with a lot of feeling behind it. She really understood the dangers of the extreme weather conditions and understands that her own life could be in danger. Tornadoes could pick up people houses or the atmospheric instability could cause a huge catastrophe as well. She added a lot of detail from the article and many quotes from real scientists. They described how their analysis has shown that weather conditions and get increasingly worse. Natascha also added her views on the subject in a clear way. She said she believed the author could have used more statistics and it helps us predict what is going to happen in the future.

    Although Natascha’a review was very good there were some flaws as well. At some points in her review she had some run on sentences and the reader loses track of what she is trying to say. Also in the last two paragraphs I think she repeated her thoughts many times just saying them using different words. However over all her article was very well written.

    I really enjoyed reading Natascha’s article and I am glad I got to read this. I clearly understand what is happening with the weather and I know what to expect in the future now. I will not see any surprises and understand why these changes will happen.

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  2. I believe that Natascha did a great job with her review of the article “Study Sees a Higher Risk of Storms on the Horizon”. There were many great aspects of the review that allowed me to easily understand the review. One great aspect of the review was the quotes that were put in from the article, these allows the reader to become more informed about the topic by reading the words of scientist. Another aspect that the article benefitted from was the great amount of detail that can be found in the summary of the review. This descriptive summary allowed me to get a good idea of what the article was about, without having to read the article myself. A third good aspect of the article would have to be how Natascha gave a good reasons for why the article had been written well, and because of the writing style she was able to understand the article and what is was about very easily.
    Even though Natascha’s review was very good it still had some room for improvement. One suggestion I would make would be to add the author of the article in the review, because it was missing the review is not as professional as it could have been if the name had been inserted into the review. Another suggestion I would make to make the review better would be for Natascha to put how the future storms shall directly impact her and not just people in general. This would be a great way for the reader to get her opinion on the matter.
    As I read the review I was very amazed by the fact that in the years to come, severe weather shall become much more common in the central and east parts of America. This fact stood out for me a lot because I live on the east, and the article states that in the future I will be experiencing more severe storms. This caused me to worry a little of what will happen in the future.

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  3. One thing that was good about Natascha’s review was that she mentioned the area when the weather might change. Another thing that I thought Natascha did a good job on was giving some citations in her review. The final thing that Natascha did a good job on was giving a cause for the change in weather. I think Natascha should have included whether there is any way we can prevent that from happening. I also think Natascha should have given more examples of how the weather could change. One thing that I learned from her review was that the changes will come somewhere in the middle of the century.

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  4. Natascha provided a good basic summarization of her article, which facilitated my understanding of her further paragraphs about her connections and opinions. Incorporating quotes from the reading gave us a taste of what the real article was like, serving as another positive aspect of the report. Lastly, Natascha's scientific topic was very well chosen, because, in my opinion, the future risks of extreme weather changes play a very influential role in our nation. If temperatures increase along the east coast overtime, we must adapt to change. For example, building new technology that provides us with proper safety from incoming storms may deliver as an essential factor to our survival. The cost of the machinery may contribute to a decrease in our government's budget, affecting yet another significant part of society.

    One thing Natascha could have improved was the report's grammatical format. Throughout the passage I found it difficult to find a flow when reading. Some of the wording could have been altered as well to impose a more formal way of communicating the content. To enhance her second paragraph, her ideas on how the issue impacts our world could have been more developed, for people are not the only component that may become affected by these ominous atmospheric changes.

    The fact that technology today is advanced enough to predict where future precarious, and possibly fatal, climate changes may occur is fascinating. Because of our technological evolution, we are able to more precisely and more efficiently discover new things. Ultimately, in this case, it ends up supplying us with vital information for the safety of our race which could possibly, in the long run, extend our period of existence on the planet.

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